ZESZYTY NAUKOWE UNIWERSYTETU SZCZECIŃSKIEGO
Transkrypt
ZESZYTY NAUKOWE UNIWERSYTETU SZCZECIŃSKIEGO
;4 ;> 434< ;4< ZESZYTY NAUKOWE UNIWERSYTETU SZCZECIÑSKIEGO NR 415 PRACE KATEDRY EKONOMETRII I STATYSTYKI NR 16 2005 /#(# .#( ( &&3@ & (&@ !-$%$>%,+/+$//(2(/! /,(:!+$3/+$%:/+$//,6(%+4$$>%$8 $%/%(=.D+4$$>$/4!/%--+64/(=8 $> H% 9$ $>( $> $2 !-$%$> H+$6. %$ %$= $/D $$%/ %$( /3/6 L%$( 2-M.%$(,2($24:$/$$ H+$%$2%!/3.D+4$:+!23!N M 2 $. $ +$/(23 +0$ /.$! $8 -/%-$.2>23-T .M $/%$.2>233%/(T M 23/$H/-/%-H3$:+T M /%$.2>233(/3///%3$.2>3H3 +$3/%:/$.3T M /%$.2>23-!23:/23$!=3/%$>3T 0M ./+$>$ H%$(! !/,(:$ 3 / 2=2/ /%$.2>23T ,M 0$.2+$D(/%$(!/(0!2%%8 /T '$JK < . -M $/$(23.( 232//!+$$/N($$$>D/%-$.2>8 23-//4($$+?46%+%.!$(8 /,$ %$(! ($,$ $//,23% $H4$>- ,$/$8 8+- %$(! 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Model 2 Model 1 2 2 Histogram wartoci rynkowych 1 m uzyskanych z M1 [5.5] Histogram wartoci rynkowych 1 m uzyskanych z modelu M2 [5.9] 195 182 169 156 143 130 117 104 91 78 65 52 39 26 13 0 & & y = 550 * 100 * normal (x; 1833,86; 140,28) pon. 1500 (1600;1700] (1800;1900] (2000;2100] (2200;2300] (1500;1600] (1700;1800] (1900;2000] (2100;2200] pow. 2300 2 wartoæ rynkowa 1 m w z³ Model 3 180 168 156 144 132 120 108 96 84 72 60 48 36 24 12 0 Histogram wartoci rynkowych 1 m uzyskanych z modelu M5 [5.23] 105 98 91 84 77 & 70 63 56 49 42 35 2%5 ;?@ ;?@ ;?@ ;?@ ;?@ ;?@ ;?@ ;?@ ;9?@ ;?9@ ;?@ ;?@ 2%&5 28 21 ;?@ & w z³ 2 2 Wartoæ rynkowa 1 m w z³ Model 5 14 7 0 2 Model 6 Histogram wartoci rynkowych 1 m uzyskanych z modelu M12 [5.54] y = 550 * 100 * normal (x; 1833,86; 125,648) & y = 550 * 100 * normal (x; 1833,86; 130,185) (1600;1700] (1700;1800] (1800;1900] (1900;2000] (2100;2200] (2000;2100] pow. 2200 2 wartoæ rynkowa 1 m w z³ 2 Histogram wartoci rynkowych 1 m uzyskanych z M6 [5.25] pon. 1600 pon.1600 (1650;1700] (1750;1800] (1850;1900] (1950;2000] (2050;2100] (1600;1650] (1700;1750] (1800;1850] (1900;1950] (2000;2050] pow. 2100 Wartoæ rynkowa 1 m w z³ 2 & 2 Model 4 y = 550 * 100 * normal (x; 1833,86; 159,798) 210 196 182 168 154 140 126 112 98 84 70 56 42 28 14 0 pon. 1500 (1600;1700] (1800;1900] (2000;2100] (2200;2300] (1500;1600] (1700;1800] (1900;2000] (2100;2200] pow. 2300 Wartoæ rynkowa 1 m Histogram wartoci rynkowych uzyskanych z modeli M3 [5.12]-[5.15] 180 168 156 144 132 120 108 96 84 72 60 48 36 24 12 0 y = 550 * 100 * normal (x; 1833,86; 137,872) 225 210 195 180 165 150 135 120 105 90 75 60 45 30 15 0 pon. 1400 (1500;1600] (1700;1800] (1900;2000] (2100;2200] (2300;2400] (1400;1500] (1600;1700] (1800;1900] (2000;2100] (2200;2300] pow. 2400 2 Wartoæ rynkowa 1 m w z³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p$$%-$(($-!,8 %+W _. %-%- ! - ..(!, !%%-q,%%%$.(%-,.$((-$ -_0%%$.(%r!,s,$%-$L> < . MY$7$(!1%@"85-Y$,(($ ! _(%$( _,(-( % 1$/+$ $8 $%- (!,%r Y 9 _0 - % ( !- 1$!$%-$$($, (!,%r Y$,(( 0s- &-.8 Y$-(q, 9 %%$.(%r!, Y$% !,Y!- - ,( % - &0 Y$ Yt , 9 !$ - /!q/(--(,!q/(-_.(q!-,0s- Z=2 @ < .