Assessment of the failure rate of water supply system in terms of
Transkrypt
Assessment of the failure rate of water supply system in terms of
Dawid SZPAK*, Barbara TCHÓRZEWSKA–CIEŚLAK – Department of Water Supply and Sewage Systems, Faculty of Cyvil and Environmental Engineering, Rzeszów University of Technology, Rzeszów, Poland Please cite as: CHEMIK 2014, 68, 10, 862–867 Introduction Collective water supply system (CWSS) belongs to the so called critical infrastructure according to the Act [10] on crisis management. Protection of critical infrastructure involves providing continuity of operation and quick recovery in case of failure or other adverse events. The information on methods of establishing and planning critical infrastructure protection is presented in the Directive [3]. Collective water supply system shall have safety level understood as system resilience to hazards required. CWSS comprises [11]: • water supply subsystem • water intake subsystem • water treatment subsystem • water transfer subsystem • water accumulation subsystem • water distribution subsystem • water supply network • water supply facilities. Water supply network is the most susceptible to damage, while the water accumulation subsystem exhibits the lowest risk of failure [2]. For the correct evaluation of adverse event, it is necessary to fully characterize it taking into account inter alia, failure cause, failure duration and its effects [12]. The main aim of the paper is to analyse and evaluate the risk of failure of water supply system in terms of CWSS operation safety. The analysis was carried out for the case of CWSS in the town of Jasło. The largest increase in the network length was 11.4 km in years 2012–2013 for the distribution network. Almost 50% share of PE pipes in total length of water supply network for each analysed year and approx. 89% share of plastics in total network length in 2013 are definitely worth noting. Figure 1 shows age of water supply pipes of the town of Jasło in years 2009–2013. Description of CWSS in the town of Jasło Jasło is a county-town in south-eastern Poland in Podkarpackie Voivodeship. In 2012, the town area was 36.52 km2, while the number of inhabitants was 36,709 [7]. The town of Jasło is supplied in water from main surface intake of capacity of 17,280 m3/d and reserve groundwater intake of capacity of 348 m3/d. There are two distribution final tanks of volume 900 m3 each and two initial tanks of total volume of 5,000 m3. Water supply network is of mixed configuration. There are five local water pumping stations for increasing water pressure in the network. Material structure of the distribution network of the town of Jasło in years 2009–2013 is presented in Table 1. Analysis and assessment of water supply network failure rate Assessment of technical conditions of water supply network was carried out based on the damage intensity according to the formula [5]: (1) Table 1 Material structure of the distribution network of the town of Jasło in years 2009–2013 Length of water supply network, km Year Grey cast iron Steel AC PVC PE Total 2009 31.8 21.2 0.8 13.2 65.4 132.4 Fig. 1. Age of water supply pipes of the town of Jasło in years 2009 – 2013 The following changes related to the network development are also very noticeable: the decrease in pipe length of exploitation period exceeding 25 years and significant increase of amount of pipes under 10 years old. where: n (Δt) – number of damages in time period Δt L – length of examined pipes in time period Δt, km Δt – considered time period, years. Damage intensity was determined for distribution pipes and household connections. In Jasło typical water mains are not classified. Damage intensity determined using formula (1) is presented in Table 2. Table 2 Damage intensity λ no. of dam./km·a for distribution pipes and household connections in years 2009–2013 Damage intensity λ no. of dam./km·a Year Distribution Pipes Household connections Total network 2010 8.8 5.4 0.8 55.5 63.4 133.9 2011 6.7 18.8 0.8 44.6 67.5 138.4 2009 0.28 0.23 0.27 2012 6.7 18.8 0.8 44.6 69.7 140.6 2010 0.20 0.47 0.28 2013 6.4 9.8 0.8 52.5 82.5 152.0 Corresponding author: Dawid SZPAK – M.Sc., e-mail: [email protected] nr 10/2014 • tom 68 2011 0.27 0.30 0.28 2012 0.27 0.50 0.34 2013 0.25 0.25 0.25 • 865 XV Conference Environmental Assessment of the failure rate of water supply system in terms of safety of critical infrastructure XV Conference Environmental Obtained results were compared with limit values for damage intensity for particular types of pipes presented in the articles [1, 8, 9]: • distribution pipes: λ = 0.5 no. of dam./km·a • household connections: λ = 1.0 no. of dam./km·a The carried out analysis shows that failure rate of water supply pipes of the town of Jasło meets above requirements. The damage intensity of distribution pipes had the highest value in 2009 λ = 0.28 no. of dam./ km·a, i.e. much lower than recommended value λ = 0.5 no. of dam./ km·a. Similarly, damage intensity of household connections is much lower than recommended value of λ = 1.0 no. of dam./km·a and was the highest in 2012 (λ = 0.5 no. of dam./km·a). It is visible that pipes of household connections have on average higher damage intensity than distribution pipes. This is in line with previously conducted studies on failure rate of water supply networks [4]. Table 3 presents basic statistics for average damage intensity in years 2009 – 2013. Table 3 Basic statistics for average damage intensity in years 2009–2013 Type of pipes Average λ, Quartile Stannumber no. of dam./km·a Average Me- dard of failures network dian deviaper year, length, km lower upper tion number of λmin λav λmax (25%) (25%) failures/a Distribution pipes 139.46 35.6 0.20 0.25 0.28 0.27 0.032 0.25 0.27 Household connections 60 21 0.23 0.35 0.50 0.30 0.126 0.25 0.47 Damage intensity depending on material type used for construction of water supply network is presented in Figure 2. Water supply in emergency situations In case of emergency situation (no water supply to the town), Jasło will be supplied using alternative water intakes: • Huta Szkła, Śniadeckich Street 19 – 228 m3/d • Jasan Sp. z o.o., Szajnochy Street – 576 m3/d • Zakład Masarski „TRIO” S.C., Lwowska Street 12 – 156 m3/d • public wells – 1,358.4 m3/d • fire wells (shortest possible time of providing the inhabitants with water is 7 days) – 2,340 m3/d • approx. 1,000 private wells in suburban areas In emergency situations there are four types of specific water demands [6]: • water quantity related to human physiology – qp = 2.5 dm3/inh. d • minimum water quantity for period of several days – qm = 7.5 dm3/inh. d • essential water quantity for period of several weeks – qe = 15 dm3/inh. d • required water quantity in emergency situation – qr = 30 dm3/inh. d. Average daily water demand in 2013 was Qav = 5630.78 m3/d. The CWSS of the town of Jasło is used by approx. 34,500 inhabitants. This number was a base for determination of water demand in emergency situations: • water demand for physiological purposes (2) • minimum water demand (3) • essential water demand (4) • required water demand (5) The determined amount of water may be supplied to inhabitants using 1.5 dm3 bottles, 5 dm3 bottles and water tankers of 8 m3 capacity making three courses per day. (Table 4) [6]. Table 4 Determination of number of bottles and water tankers needed for providing water for inhabitants in emergency situations [6] Water demand, m3/d Number of 1.5 dm3 bottles Number of 5 dm3 bottles Number of water tanks of capacity 3 · 8 m3 Qp 86.25 57,500 17,250 4 Qm 258.75 172,500 51,750 11 Qe 517.50 345,000 103,500 22 Qr 1035.00 690,000 207,000 43 Fig. 2. Damage intensity depending on material type used for construction of water supply network in years 2009–2013 The lowest damage intensity was found for PVC pipes – λmax=0.15 no. of dam/km·a – and PE pipes – λmax=0.27 no. of dam/km·a. High values of damage intensity for pipes made of grey cast iron, steel and AC (for 2011) are hard to miss. The obtained values of damage intensities were compared with average damage intensities calculated based on the long-term studies presented in [5]. Average damage intensity is: • for grey iron cast: λ = 0.48 no. of dam./km·a • for steel: λ = 0.55 no. of dam./km·a • for AC: λ = 0.37 no. of dam./km·a • for PVC: λ = 0.15 no. of dam./km·a • for PE: λ = 0.32 no. of dam./km·a Damage intensities for PVC and PE pipes are lower than for data presented in [5]. Higher values of damage intensity have been designated for pipes made of grey cast iron and steel and, in 2011, this was also observed for AC pipes. Based on [6], it was assumed that damage intensity equal to λ = 1 no. of dam./km , qualifies pipes for replacement (in accordance with the European standards). 866 • The conducted assessment showed that emergency groundwater intakes fully cover (100%) water demand and there is no need to support water supply from external sources. Summary Collective water supply system belongs to the critical infrastructure. Due to that, actions of water supply companies shall focus on ensuring safety of the CWSS, preparation of crisis management plans and mitigating effects of potential emergency situations. The constant increase in the length of the water supply distribution network is observed. Pipes made of traditional materials, such as grey cast iron, has been replaced with plastic pipes. Water supply network of the town of Jasło in 2013 was composed in 89% of PVC and PE nr 10/2014 • tom 68 7. Rak J., Sypień Ł.: Analiza strat wody w wodociągu miasta Jasła. Czasopismo Inżynierii Lądowej, Środowiska i Architektury. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Rzeszowskiej. t. XXX, z. 60 (3/13), lipiec – wrzesień 2013, 5–18. 8. Rak J., Tchórzewska–Cieślak B.: Awaryjność sieci wodociągowych w głównych miastach Doliny Sanu. III Konferencja Naukowo – Techniczna Błękitny San, Dubiecko 21–22 IV 2006. 9. Studziński A., Pietrucha – Urbanik K.: Awaryjność sieci wodociągowej Tarnowa. Gaz, woda i technika sanitarna. 2012, 10, 464–466. 10. Ustawa z dnia 26 kwietnia 2007 r. o zarządzaniu kryzysowym (Dz. U. z 2007 r. Nr 89, poz. 590) oraz zmiana z 2010 r., Dz.U.240 poz. 1600. 11. Wieczysty A., Rak J.: Niezawodność systemów zaopatrzenia w wodę w aspekcie wymagań jakościowych. Ochrona Środowiska. 1995. 1(56). 5–10. 12. Zimoch I.: Niezawodnościowa interpretacja awaryjności podsystemu dystrybucji wody. Czasopismo Techniczne. Środowisko. Wydawnictwo Politechniki Krakowskiej im. Tadeusz Kościuszki, R. 108, 2011, z. 1-Ś, 211–223. *Dawid SZPAK – M.Sc., has graduated from the Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Rzeszów University of Technology (2013). He currently works at the Department of Water Supply and Sewage Systems, Rzeszów University of Technology. Scientific interests: reliability in collective water supply systems. e-mail: [email protected], phone: +48 17 8651427 Literature 1. Bergel T.: Awaryjność sieci wodociągowych małych wodociągów grupowych w Polsce. Gaz, woda i technika sanitarna. 2012, 12, 536–538. 2. Denczew S.: Niezawodność, bezpieczeństwo i ryzyko systemów eksploatacji wodociągów w aspekcie infrastruktury krytycznej. Eksploatacja i niezawodność. 2007, 2, 15–21. 3. Dyrektywa Rady 2008/114/WE z dnia 8 grudnia 2008 r. w sprawie rozpoznawania i wyznaczania europejskiej infrastruktury krytycznej oraz oceny potrzeb w zakresie poprawy jej ochrony. 4. Kwietniewski M.: Awaryjność infrastruktury wodociągowej i kanalizacyjnej w Polsce w świetle badań eksploatacyjnych. XXV Konferencja Naukowo-Techniczna, Międzyzdroje 24–27 maja 2011. 5. Kwietniewski M., Rak J.: Niezawodność infrastruktury wodociągowej i kanalizacyjnej w Polsce. Polska Akademia Nauk. Komitet Inżynierii Lądowej i Wodnej, Instytut Podstawowych Problemów Techniki, Warszawa 2010, 37–81. 6. Rak J. i in.: Niezawodność i bezpieczeństwo systemów zbiorowego zaopatrzenia w wodę. Oficyna Wydawnicza Politechniki Rzeszowskiej. Rzeszów 2012, 49–59, 159–163. Barbara TCHÓRZEWSKA–CIEŚLAK – Ph.D., D.Sc., Eng., Ass. prof., has graduated from the Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Rzeszów University of Technology (1997). She has received her Ph.D. from the Faculty of Environmental Engineering, Cracow University of Technology (2002). She has received her D.Sc. from the Faculty of Environmental Engineering, Wrocław University of Technology (2012). She currently works at the Department of Water Supply and Sewage Systems, Rzeszów University of Technology. Scientific interests: analysis and assessment methods of reliability and safety in collective water supply systems, balneotechnology. She has authored 3 monographs, authored or co-authored 72 scientific publications (scored) and 28 publications published in conference materials. e-mail: [email protected], phone: +48 17 8651435 Aktualności z firm News from the Companies Dokończenie ze strony 855 Strategiczne umowy Puław i Polic z Kronospanem Grupa Azoty Puławy oraz Police zawarły z Kronospanem szereg umów handlowych na sprzedaż melaminy i mocznika. Umowy zawarte są na okres do końca 2018 roku i opiewają na łączną szacunkową kwotę 900 mln PLN. Produkty z puławskiej oraz polickiej spółki będą dostarczane do największego na świecie producenta płyt drewnopochodnych – Kronospanu bezpośrednio do polskich spółek w Mielcu i Szczecinku, słowackim Strazske oraz czeskiej Ostrawy. Modernizacja zakładów chemicznych w Polsce podjęta na początku lat dziewięćdziesiątych, stworzenie tam znaczących centrów produkcji mocznika i melaminy – ważnych surowców dla przemysłu płyt drewnopochodnych – było czołowym przyczynkiem do rozwoju tego przemysłu w Polsce. Dziś Polska to drugi po Niemczech producent płyt wiórowych, mdf, osb w Europie. Liderem procesu tworzenia i rozwoju przemysłu płytowego w naszym kraju jest Kronospan – wiodący producent tej branży w świecie. Podpisane umowy wspomagają dal- nr 10/2014 • tom 68 szy rozwój Kronospanu, przemysłu płytowego, tym samym stanowiąc wsparcie przemysłu meblowego – powiedział Mirosław Malinowski, Członek Zarządu Kronospan Chemical w Polsce. Przemysł meblarski w Polsce to potężne koło zamachowe integrujące szereg branż. Eksport mebli z Polski za 2014 szacowany jest na 7,3 mld PLN (6, 9 mld PLN w 2013). Największym odbiorcą polskich mebli wciąż pozostają Niemcy. Polska ma jednak sukcesy w całej UE, Afryce, USA. Polska jest potęgą meblarską, pod względem możliwości produkcyjnych – nasz kraj zajmuje czwarte miejsce w Europie, wyprzedzają nas Niemcy, Włosi i Wielka Brytania. Natomiast na świecie lepsze są od nas Stany Zjednoczone, Chiny i Brazylia. Branża meblarska w Polsce – to ok. 24 tys. firm. Z tej liczby około 100 stanowią duże przedsiębiorstwa, zatrudniające powyżej 250 osób; ok. 350 – średnie (od 50 do 250 osób) i ok. 1500 – małe (od 10 do 50 osób). Sektor ten stanowi ok. 2 proc. polskiego PKB. (em) (Informacja prasowa Grupy Azoty z 8.10.2014 r.) Dokończenie na stronie 870 • 867 XV Conference Environmental pipes, which is in line with worldwide trend to use thermoplastics and nodular cast iron for construction of water supply networks, which significantly decreases the failure rate. Average values of damage intensity are of order λ = 0.25 no. of dam./km·a for distribution pipes and λ = 0.35 no. of dam./km·a for household connections and are lower than limits equal to λ = 0.5 no. of dam./km·a and λ = 1.0 no. of dam./km·a, respectively. This indicates good technical conditions of water supply network of the town of Jasło. The lowest damage intensity was found for PVC pipes and PE pipes – λav = 0.07 no. of dam./km·a and λav = 0.21 no. of dam./km·a, respectively. These values are lower than ones from the literature data, which were obtained through long-term studies of operation of Polish water supply networks. High damage intensity for cast iron pipes λav = 1.77 no. of dam./km·a and AC pipes λ = 2.5 no. of dam./km·a in 2011 (with only two failures) based on European standards qualifies these pipes (limit λ= 1 no. of dam./km·a) for replacement or renovation. High damage intensity for steel pipes is also noticeable, however, it has not exceeded limit of λ = 1 no. of dam./km·a, with the exception of 2010. In case of emergency situation, the town of Jasło can fully cover required water demand from its own emergency groundwater intakes.