Stage 1 - Bestufs

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Stage 1 - Bestufs

Land Use Planning and Business
Models for Urban Distribution
Centers
Tomasz Dowgielewicz
Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Profile
R&D activities in public sector are commissioned by:
• The Ministry of Economy
• The Ministry of Infrastructure
• The State Committee for Scientific Research
Core competences
•
•
•
•
Logistics Management Consulting
Supply Chain Logistics
Macro-logistics Systems
e-business
POLLOCO
www.polloco.pl
Logistics knowledge networking and dissemination
The State’s goal
To balance the transportation system
technically, spatially, economically, socially
and environmentally, concerning the
circumstances of developing economy and
international competition.
Tomasz Dowgielewicz – Institute of Logistics and Warehousing
Strategic Goals:
The newly built logistics centers should
be an element of national plan of
integrated network of logistics centers
The plan should consider their
integration with functioning European
logistics centers
Stage 1 – Goods flow identification
Stage 2 – Location study
Stage 3 – Feasibility study
Tasks:
Goods flows analysis were carried on the basis of:
- deliveries structure in goods distribution processes,
- volumes of goods import and export for Opole voivodship
- volume of goods flow within the region.
The goal:
To estimate goods flow to be serviced by the Opole
Logistics Center
WOJ. WIELKOPOLSKIE
Goods flows in motorway
transport for Opole
voivodship
WOJ. ŁÓDZKIE
39
43
12,2
1,7
45
Byczyna
42
1,4
Wołczyn
42
2,1
Linopłyt
10
Kluczbork
Rudniki
6,5
Jaworzno
42
0,5
42
2,0
43
9
1,8
39
Rogalice
42
1,6
8,2
Domaszowice
1,1
3,1
Praszka
11
Namysłów
11
KSR
11,1
Olesno
4,4
Brzeg
5,4
Olszanka
Młodoszowice
4
2
Skarbimierz
8,1
3
Biedziany
94
4,2
Skorogoszcz
Czeska Wie
1
Półwie
A4
20,7
7,1
Wrzoski
25,3
Opole
29,2
Pr dy
Zimnice
3,2
12
4,7
6,9
Ozimek
6,6
WOJ. L SKIE
12,2
46
4,8
46
94
Niemodlin
Dobrodzie
Zawada
11
39
45
2,2
8,0
1,5
WOJ. DOLNO L SKIE
Izbicko
Metalchem
5,6
25,3
Strzelce Opolskie
Pakosławice
20,0
6,8
Krapkowice
Nysa
8,7
45
17,8
Port
40 Głogówek
Prudnik
40
2,5
1,3
1,8
Laskowice
8
3,4
Wi kszyce
2,8
4,2
7
6
2,3
K dzierzyn-Ko le
5
2,0
ZA K dzierzyn
0,1
Blachownia 4
Blachownia 3
4,0
Piorunkowice
Głuchołazy
94
13
41
4,5
SAG (Ujazd)
40
Otmuchów
4,5
6,4
46
Pawłowiczki
41
0,6
Głubczyce
38
1,0
3,0
LEGENDA
- oznaczenie lokalizacji CL
CZECHY
1,8
- potok towarowy (drogowy)
Paczków
A4
- granica pa stwa
- granica województwa
- granica powiatu
- granica gminy
Forecasted volume of goods flow for the Opole Logistics Center
Goods streams in following
years
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2018
Total road transportation [tons]
4 939 392
5 548 639
6 208 385
6 622 340
7 409 752
8 028 265
103,84%
103,68%
104,09%
100,82%
104,09%
104,09%
2,50%
4,00%
5,50%
7,00%
8,50%
9,50%
123 485
221 946
341 461
463 564
629 829
762 685
GDP dynamics coefficient
Absorption coefficient
Good stream assumed to be
serviced by the OLC [tons]
The volume of streams serviced by OLC in 2004-2018 was estimated on the basis of
GDP forecast and concerning the base absorption coefficient on the level of 2.5%
The share of stream volume according to the kind of services
Goods stream in years [tons]
Service
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
2018
Container service
12 352
22 201
34 157
46 371
63 003
76 292
Cross-docking
16 112
28 959
44 553
60 485
82 179
99 514
Warehousing and order picking
26 854
48 265
74 256
100 809
136 966
165 857
Warehouses renting
26 854
48 265
74 256
100 809
136 966
165 857
On yard storing
20 657
37 127
57 120
77 545
105 358
127 582
Store-yards renting
20 657
37 127
57 120
77 545
105 358
127 582
The goal:
To estimate the optimal location for the logistics center for the
voivodship of Opole.
Tasks:
to evaluate the need of creating the logistics center in the
region
to identify the role and function of the future logistics center
to recommend logistics center’s number within the
voivodship
Main groups of criteria for logistics centers locating:
1.
location (the location’s abundance)
2.
economical (the regions potential)
3.
distributional (distribution costs)
Issues to be recognized when analyzing
potential locations:
1. Land destination – spatial plan conformity
2. Land development – accessibility and efficiency
of media
3. Ownership structure – lands’ legal status
4. Infrastructure
5. Communication network accessibility
Locations to be verified
No.
Name
Commune
Poviat
Grodków
Brzeg
2
Olszanka – w zeł A4 „Przylesie”
Olszanka
Brzeg
3
Czeska Wie - Jankowice
Olszanka
Brzeg
4
Skarbimierz - lotnisko
Skarbimierz
Brzeg
5
ZA ”K dzierzyn”
K dzierzyn-Ko le
6
ZCh „Blachownia 3”
K dzierzyn-Ko le
7
ZCh „Blachownia 4”
K dzierzyn-Ko le
8
Port
K dzierzyn-Ko le
K dzierzyn-Ko le
9
Kluczborska Strefa Rozwoju (KSR)
Kluczbork
Kluczbork
10
ZPL „Linopłyt”
Wołczyn
Kluczbork
11
Półwie
Opole
12
ZACh „Metalchem”
Opole
13
Strefa Aktywno ci Gospodarczej (SAG)w zeł A4 „Olszowa”„Nogawczyce”
Ujazd
K dzierzyn-Ko le
K dzierzyn-Ko le
K dzierzyn-Ko le
Młodoszowice – w zeł A4 „Przylesie”
1
Strzelce Opolskie
Economical indexes
1
Population
2
Working population per 1000 people
3
GDP [millions of PLN]
4
OPOLSKIE
L SKIE
DOLNOL SKIE
Index
No.
POLAND
1 080 505
(2,8%)
4 830 472
(12,5%)
2 970 094
(7,7%)
38 632 453
(100%)
326,2
349,1
328,2
379,7
16 458,2
(2,4%)
94 773,1
(13,8%)
54 516,0
(8%)
684 981,9
(100%)
GDP per capita [PLN]
15 146
19 509
18 324
17 725
5
Investments expenditures [millions of PLN]
2 217,2
(1,8%)
12 573,1
(10,4%)
11 012,0
(9,1%)
121 362,9
(100%)
6
Investments expenditures per capita [PLN]
2 048
2 598
3 706
3 141
7
Sold industry production [millions of PLN]
12 530,3
(2,5%)
84 174,8
(16,8%)
35 940,6
(7,2%)
500 780,7
(100%)
8
Sold industry production per capita [PLN]
11 573
17 391
12 096
12 960
9
Goods retail sales per capita [PLN]
6334
9 154
7 328
9 716
1 865,5
2 094,4
1 973,4
2 045,1
10
Average gross salary [PLN]
11
Unemployment rate
18,2%
15,7%
21,5%
17,5%
12
Number of foreign investments over 1 M$
39
(1,9%)
266
(12,4%)
175
(8,1%)
2 149
(100%)
Liczba inwe s tycji za gra nicznych
1 Punkt = 10 inwes ty cji
P OMORS KIE
WARMI S KO-MAZURS KIE
P rodukcja s prze da na
przemysłu i handlu
P ODLAS KIE
KUJAWS KO-P OMORS KIE
ZACHODNIOP OMORS KIE
210 000
MAZOWIECKIE
WIELKOP OLS KIE
LUBUS KIE
ŁÓDZKIE
LUBELS KIE
WI TOKRZYS KIE
OP OLS KIE
DOLNO L S KIE
w mln. zł.
S tan ludno ci
L S KIE
P ODKARP ACKIE
MAŁOP OLS KIE
3
2
2
1
1
360
640
140
470
020
000
000
000
000
000
do
do
do
do
do
5
3
2
2
1
070
360
640
140
470
000
000
000
000
000
(2)
(4)
(3)
(3)
(4)
Analysis of logistics distribution costs
The logistics costs analysis of distribution centers functioning
was carried on the basis of the Institute’s methodology. It
was estimated regarding the following:
real structure of goods stream flow
costs indexes of the second half of 2002
issuing point located in Germany
receiving points in all voivodship capitals of Poland
Locations rank according to logistics costs
Rank
Location
Transport costs
Warehousing
costs
Distribution
costs
TOTAL
[tys. PLN]
[tys. PLN]
[tys. PLN]
[tys PLN]
The cheapest
location
= 100
Wrocław
2 031,7
172,2
506,6
2 710,5
100,0
2
Opole
2 053,4
162,9
506,6
2 722,9
100,5
3
Bydgoszcz
2 053,4
163,8
506,6
2 723,8
100,5
4
Pozna
2 053,4
174,1
506,6
2 734,2
100,9
5
Zielona Góra
2 031,7
163,0
606,0
2 800,8
103,3
6
Łód
2 276,2
172,3
409,7
2 858,2
105,4
7
Kielce
2 296,0
161,6
441,8
2 899,4
107,0
8
Katowice
2 276,2
171,7
506,6
2 954,5
109,0
9
Warszawa
2 296,0
228,2
441,8
2 966,0
109,4
10
Kraków
2 296,0
166,6
506,6
2 969,2
109,5
11
Szczecin
2 031,7
176,6
774,3
2 982,7
110,0
12
Gda sk
2 227,6
179,4
639,4
3 046,5
112,4
13
Olsztyn
2 296,0
165,5
639,4
3 100,9
114,4
14
Lublin
2 454,8
165,0
539,6
3 159,5
116,6
15
Rzeszów
2 454,8
158,8
606,0
3 219,6
118,8
16
Białystok
2 454,8
166,2
639,4
3 260,5
120,3
Country avg.
2 224,0
171,7
548,6
2 944,3
108,6
Costs share
75,6%
5,8%
18,6%
100,0%
1
Investment attractiveness for voivodships’ capitals in Poland
Source: Institute of Market Economy Research
Pan European transport corridors
Corridor I:
Warszawa - Białystok - Suwałki
- z odgał zieniem: - Elbl g Gda sk;
Corridor II:
wiecko - Pozna - Warszawa
– Terespol;
Corridor III:
Zgorzelec - Wrocław - Opole Katowice - Kraków - Rzeszów Medyka;
Gda sk/Gdynia - Warszawa Katowice – Zwardo – Pozna
- Katowice
Corridor IV:
CONCLUSIONS
The necessity of building a logistics center within
Opole voivodship has been proved
It should operate within and for the city of Opole
having regional character
It should co-operate with another logistics centers in
Poland
Within international operability it should co-operate
with the closest international logistics center that has
international character
Final result
Kryterium
Ł cznie
gospodarcze
dystrybucyjne
Skarbimierz
0,5
0,5
0
1
Młodoszowice
0,5
0,5
0
1
Przylesie
0,5
0,5
0
1
Czeska Wie
0
0,5
0
0,5
Strzelce Opolskie
1
0
0,5
1,5
K dzierzyn-Ko le
ZAK
0,5
0
0
0,5
Port
0,5
0
0
0,5
Blachownia 3
1
0
0
1
Blachownia 4
0,5
0
0
0,5
Półwie
0
1
1
2
Metalchem
0,5
1
1
2,5
Linopłyt
0,5
0
0
0,5
1
0
0
1
Kluczbork
Brzeg
lokalizacyjne
Opole
Lokalizacja
KSR
WOJ. WIELKOPOLSKIE
WOJ. ŁÓDZKIE
Location of the future
logistics center
43
39
45
Byczyna
Praszka
11
Namysłów
42
Rudniki
42
Domaszowice
Linopłyt
Kluczbork
10
42
42
Jaworzno
43
9
39
Rogalice
Wołczyn
42
11
KSR
Olesno
Młodoszowice
4
2
Skarbimierz
Biedziany
94
1
Skorogoszcz
Czeska Wie
3
45
39
Olszanka
Półwie
Wrzoski
A4
Zawada
11
Opole
46
Ozimek
94
Pr dy
Niemodlin
Dobrodzie
WOJ. DOLNO L SKIE
Brzeg
46
12
Zimnice
WOJ. L SKIE
Izbicko
Metalchem
Strzelce Opolskie
Pakosławice
Otmuchów
Krapkowice
Nysa
94
13
40
Paczków
SAG (Ujazd)
45
41
Port
40 Głogówek
Prudnik
8
Wi kszyce
40
Blachownia 4
Blachownia 3
Piorunkowice
Laskowice
7
6
46
A4
K dzierzyn-Ko le
5
ZA K dzierzyn
Głuchołazy
41
Pawłowiczki
38
LEGENDA
- oznaczenie lokalizacji CL
CZECHY
Głubczyce
- granica pa stwa
- granica województwa
- granica powiatu
- granica gminy
Goal:
To estimate optimal organizational form of the center and
economical effectiveness of the project.
Tasks:
logistics centers’ market analysis in Poland and Europe
defining the range of logistics services
elaboration of the initial plan of OLC’s development plan
organizational forms’ analysis
impact on environment
elaboration of 15 years financial forecast
identification of possible financing sources
evaluation of the investment’s financial effectiveness
Incomes from logistics services sales
90,0
80,0
70,0
w mln PLN
60,0
50,0
40,0
30,0
20,0
10,0
0,0
1998
1999
2000
2001 1)
The range and stages of the investment
Investment range
Unit
2004
2007
2010
2013
2016
Razem
Lands
ha
5,3
2,1
0,8
2,1
0,8
11,1
Warehouses
m2
10 100
6 700
6 700
5 400
6 700
35 600
Storing yards
m2
6 400
3 100
3 100
3 100
3 100
18 800
Container yard
m2
1 000
1 000
1 000
3 000
Maneuver yards and ways
m2
9 600
2 850
2 800
22 150
3 450
3 450
Spatial development concept
Obwodnica Opolska
Obiekty CL
5
4
5
4
2 012
- o bie kt m a ga zyno wy (ro k inwest.- 2 012 )
2 015
- p la c ko nte n e ro wy (ro k inwest.- 2 015 )
2 004
- p la c s kła d owy (ro k in west.- 2 004 )
- p a rkin g s a m o chodów ci ar.
3
5
5
3
PS
4
5
H
B
Obiekty towarzysz ce
METAL CHEM
H
- o b ie kt hote lowy
B
- o b ie kt biurowy
P
- s ta cja paliw
SO - s ta cja ob s ługi pojazdów
ul. O wi cimska
PS
P
SO
Local government
The real estate
approx. 6 mln zł
Private investors
Cash contribution
approx. 4 mln zł
OLC’s Managing Operator
Co-financing resources
approx. 24 mln zł
EU
Debt (credit, bonds)
approx. 36 mln zł
Financial institutions
Utilization costs
of the Opole LC
(2004-2018)
Category
Costs (2004 - 2018)
[EUR]
Direct costs
14 258 120
Warehouses
12 397 269
Hiring service
790 693
cross-docking service
4 164 259
picking service
7 442 319
Storing yards
1 311 827
yards service
1 241 964
Hiring service
69 862
Container yards
Parking lots
Space renting
Management costs
Unexpected costs reserve
476 737
72 285
5 703 255
998 068
Depreciation
4 535 975
Total costs
25 402 387
Income of
Category
Incomes (2004 - 2018)
[EUR]
the Opole LC
Total income
46 195 013
(2004-2018)
Warehouses
40 235 394
Hiring service
8 820 301
Cross-docking service
10 734 977
picking service
20 680 116
Storing yards
3 434 037
yards service
1 920 698
Hiring service
1 513 340
Containers yards
2 525 581
Parking lots
Space renting
96 279
-
Investment Expenditures of the Opole LC (2004-2018)
[EUR]
0 Grounds
1 030 912
1 Buildings
10 655 743
2 Objects of land engineery
1 278 534
7 Means of transport
2 697 132
8 Tools, movables and equipment
442 791
TOTAL
16 105 112
Internal Return Rate of the investment project for
Opole LC (independent of the financial source)
IRR
Internal Return Rate
13,7 %
!
"#
$
All questions concerning the presentation
please refer:
[email protected]
www.ilim.poznan.pl
www.polloco.pl
+48 / 61 / 850 49 49

Stage 1 - Bestufs

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