roczna ocena zasobów energii wiatrowej w rejonie rzd - PTES-ISES

Transkrypt

roczna ocena zasobów energii wiatrowej w rejonie rzd - PTES-ISES
ROCZNA OCENA ZASOBÓW
ENERGII WIATROWEJ W REJONIE RZD SGGW
W ŻELAZNEJ
.K\S_]d
-D/5+6=53
<KPKĚ
59<?:-DCě=53
:KaOĚ
9,=>+A=53
=></=D-D/83/
A
K\^cU_VO
Z\dON]^KaSYXY
acXSUS
LKNKĜ
NY^cMdÞMcMR
dK]YLÌa
OXO\QSS
aSK^\YaOT
XK
^O\OXSO
<YVXSMdOQY
DKUĚKN_
.YijaSKNMdKVXOQY
=dUYĚc
1ĚÌaXOT
1Y
]ZYNK\]^aK
ASOT]USOQY
a
œOVKdXOT
U
=USO\XSOaSM
aYT
ĚÌNdUSO
a
\YU_
"
AcXSUS
dY]^KĚc
_dc]UKXO
dK
ZYWYMÞ
WO^OY\YVYQSMdXOT
]^KMTS
ZYWSK\YaOT
dKSX]^KVYaKXOT
aO
a]ZYWXSKXOT
VYUKVSdKMTS
@9;8@*-C.72.
@ TXV^WRTJLRN XY^KURTX`JWbV ` VJ[L^ [ 4XVR\SJ
.^[XYNS\TJ`b[JcRũJRW]NWLS¢YXT[bLRJũžLcWNPXc^ŖbLRJNWN[PRRWJ
]N[NWRNYJĢ\]`LcũXWTX`\TRLQ`M`^McRN\]^Y[XLNW]JLQcNŔ[ßMNũ
XMWJ`RJUWbLQ ` YN[\YNT]b`RN [XT^ @ KUR\TRNS Y[cb\cũXĵLR
oWJ[XToMUJ9XU\TR`bcWJLcXWXLNURWMbTJ]b`WbWJYXcRX
VRN ^McRJũ^NWN[PRRXMWJ`RJUWbLQ`KRUJW\RNNWN[PRRYRN[`X]
WNSJMUJ\JVNSNWN[PRRNUNT][bLcWNSWJ`N]"`ũžLcWNSY[XM^TLSR
T[JSX`NS,cNTJU\TRRRW @c`RžcT^cYX`bŖ\cbVVXŖWJ
XLcNTR`JîWX`bLQRW`N\]bLSR`cJT[N\RNNWN[PN]bTR`RJ][X`NST]ß
[J\]JWX`RSNMWžcOX[VY[XM^TLSRNWN[PRRcNŔ[ßMNũXMWJ`RJUWbLQ
CN`cPU¢M^WJ`b\XTRNTX\c]bRW`N\]bLbSWNK^MX`J]^[KRW`RJ
][X`bLQSN\]XYũJLJUWJSNMbWRNWJ]N[NWJLQXMcWJLcJSžLbLQ\R¢\]X
\^WTX`X`b\XTRVRY[¢MTXĵLRJVR`RJ][^`LRžP^LJũNPX[XT^6XL
\][^VRNWRJ`RJ][^SN\]Y[XYX[LSXWJUWJMX][cNLRNSYX]¢PRY[¢MTXĵLR
4U^LcX`bVY[XKUNVNV\]JSN\R¢X\cJLX`JWRN`J[]XĵLRY[¢MTXĵLR
`b\]¢Y^SžLbLQ`VRNS\L^YUJWX`JWNSUXTJURcJLSROJ[Vb`RJ][X`NS
9[¢MTXĵî`RJ][^VXŖWJ`bcWJLcbîM[XPžYXVRJ[X`ž;XLcWNYX
VRJ[bVN]NX[XUXPRLcWNYXc`JUJSžWJXLNW¢cJ\XKß`NWN[PRR`RJ
][^cKũ¢MNVo+NLQ[JTR\RRW
9UJWX`JWJ UXTJURcJLSJ OJ[Vb `RJ][X`NS ]X XTXURLN VRNS
\LX`XĵLRŕNUJcWJ`XSũßMcTRNYX`\TRN[WRN`RLTR@\]¢YWRN
`\TJcJWXVRNS\LNY[cb\cũNPXYX\JMX`RNWRJ]^[KRW`RJ][X`bLQ
WJSNMWbVcYßU^Y[J`WbLQ;XUWRLcNPXCJTũJM^-Xĵ`RJMLcJU
WNPX <cTXũb 0ũß`WNS 0X\YXMJ[\]`J @RNS\TRNPX [b\ @P
XYRWRRXTXURLcWbLQVRN\cTJĢLß``ũJĵWRN]XVRNS\LNXMcWJLcJ
\R¢\cLcNPßUWž`RN][cWXĵLRž
;b\@RMXTXPßUWb\]JLSRVN]NX[XUXPRLcWNSWJ]N[NWRN;C-<00@`ŕN
UJcWNS
6.=.8;85802,C7*<=*,3*9862*;8@*
;b\ @Rc^JURcJLSJ Y[cb\cũNS OJ[Vb `RJ][X`NS WJ ]N[NWRN ;C- ŕNUJcWJ @J
[RJW]cLc]N[NVJ]^[KRWJVRXVXLbT@
-,C.4*5<42;48;>9,CBġ<4298+<=*@<42
4J]NM[J9XM\]J`2WŖbWRN[RR@bMcRJũ2WŖbWRN[RR9[XM^TLSR
<cTXũJ0ũß`WJ0X\YXMJ[\]`J@RNS\TRNPX@J[\cJ`J
UaSOMSOĜvMdO\aSOM
ŵųųż
<]JLSJcWJSM^SN\R¢WJUXTJUWbV`cWRN\RNWR^WJ`b\XTX
ĵLR VWYV*U^VRWRX`bVJ\c]VJ`b\XTXĵîV[b\
R SN\] ^\]JKRURcX`JWb ][cNVJ \]JUX`bVR XMLRžPJVR cJTX
]`RLcXWbVR ` KN]XWX`bLQ \]XYJLQ O^WMJVNW]X`bLQ 7J
VJ\cLRN ^VRN\cLcXWX WJ\]¢Y^SžLN Lc^SWRTR ,cNTJU\TR R RW
!#
o`RJ][XVRN[cMXYXVRJ[^Y[¢MTXĵLRRTRN[^WT^`RJ][^WJ`b
\XTXĵLRVWYP
o `RJ][XVRN[c MX YXVRJ[^ Y[¢MTXĵLR `RJ][^ WJ `b\XTXĵLR V
WYP
oKJ[XVN][MXYXVRJ[^LRĵWRNWRJ
ZYV]UK
OXO\QO^cUK
]ĚYXOMdXK
o]N[VXQRP[XVN][MXYXVRJ[^`RUPX]WXĵLR`cPU¢MWNSR]NVYN
[J]^[bYX`RN][cJX[JcLc^SWRTR^c^YNũWRJSžLN#`RNUXTJWJũX
`b]N[VXVN][MXYXVRJ[^]NVYN[J]^[YX`RN][cJWJ`b\X
TXĵLRLVX[JcP[^W]^WJPũ¢KXTXĵLRoLVRoLV
CJ\]X\X`JWRN TXVY^]N[J K¢MžLNPX SNMWXLcNĵWRN LNW
][JUWbV[NSN\][J]X[NVX[Jc\N[`N[NVMJWbLQ^VRN\cLcXWNPX
`SNMWbVcK^MbWTß`;C-^VXŖUR`RJcMJUWbMX\]¢YMXMJ
WbLQ cJ YXĵ[NMWRL]`NV \RNLR 2W]N[WN] <]JWX`R\TX YXVRJ[X
`NcX\]JũX`bK^MX`JWNR^[^LQXVRXWNY[cb`bTX[cb\]JWR^
ĵ[XMTß`²WJW\X`bLQ Y[cbMcRNUXWbLQ ` [JVJLQ P[JW]^ ^LcNU
WRJWNPX<00@W[ ` [<]JLSJcX\]JũJ^[^
LQXVRXWJ`M[^PRNSYXũX`RNUR\]XYJMJ [
@B7242
;b\@bT[N\Y[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^WJ`b\XTXĵLRV
@bT[N\bY[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^`O^WTLSRLcJ\^RU^\][^SžLNMJWN
YXVRJ[X`N Y[cNM\]J`RXWX WJ [b\ R 4X[cb\]JSžL c ]bLQ
MJWbLQ Y[cNURLcXWX Y[¢MTXĵLR `RJ][^ WJ `b\XTXĵLR R VT]ß[NXMYX`RJMJSž`b\XTXĵLRXV]^[[email protected][LXW
. R ! T@ .WN[LXW . CN `cPU¢M^ WJ \]X\^WTX`X
WR\TRNY[¢MTXĵLR\]J[]X`N]^[KRWb]N\žY[NON[X`JWbV[Xc`Rž
cJWRNV]NLQWRLcWbVY[cb\cũNSOJ[Vb`RJ][X`NST]ß[JVJYX
`\]Jî`]NSUXTJURcJLSR8KURLcNWRJ`bTXWJWXTX[cb\]JSžLc`b
TũJMWRLcNPXY[X²U^ Y[¢MTXĵLR `RJ][^ 9N]N[\NW R RW "" #
I
@J[]XĵîYcX\]JũJXKURLcXWJSJTXĵ[NMWRJJ[b]VN]bLcWJWJ
YXM\]J`RNYX[ß`WJWRJMJWbLQYXVRJ[X`bLQWJ`b\XTXĵLRJLQ
RVY&" @bT[N\bY[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^WJ`b\XTX
ĵLRJLQR VYXTJcJWXWJ[b\R9XWJM]XXKURLcXWX
ĵ[NMWRNY[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^`YX\cLcNPßUWbLQVRN\RžLJLQWJ[Xc
YJ][b`JWbLQ `b\XTXĵLRJLQ ]JK -JWN ]N cRU^\][X`JWX WJ
[b\ 9[¢MTXĵî`RJ][^cWJLcžLX[XĵWRNcN`c[X\]NV`b\XTXĵLR
7JSWRŖ\cN Y[¢MTXĵLR `RJ][^ cX\]Jũb XMWX]X`JWN ` T`RN]WR^
R VJS^ WJS`bŖ\cN ` XT[N\RN# \]bLcNĢ o VJ[cNL X[Jc UR\]XYJ
McRN@`J[^WTJLQT[JSX`bLQ5J]TX!]N[NWY[cbMJ]Wb
MX`bTX[cb\]JWRJNWN[PRR`RJ][^YX`RWRNWVRNîĵ[NMWRž[XLcWž
Y[¢MTXĵî`RJ][^WJ`b\XTXĵLR VYX`bŖNSV\
;b\@bT[N\Y[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^WJ`b\XTXĵLRV
;XcYJ][b`JWJUXTJURcJLSJ\YNũWRJ]NW`J[^WNT V\
WJ`b\ V
;b\^WNT!Y[cN\]J`RJ`bT[N\Lc¢\]XĵLR`RJ][^YXLQXMcž
LNPX c MJWNPX TRN[^WT^ [ßŖ¢ `RJ][ß` Y[cb LcbV cJ\]X\X
`JWX Y[cNMcRJũb ][cbMcRN\]X\]XYWRX`N 9RN[`\cb URLcžL XM
ĵ[XMTJXT[žP\TJUR]NPX`bT[N\^XMYX`RJMJLc¢\]XĵLR[ß`WNS
@Y[cNMVRX]X`NSUXTJURcJLSRY[cN`JŖJSž`RJ][bcTRN[^W
T^cJLQXMWRNPX9[cN\][cNWWN^\b]^X`JWRN]^[KRW`RJ][X`bLQ
` ]N[NWRN YX`RWWX VRWRVJURcX`Jî `cJSNVWN Y[cN\ũXWR¢LRJ
^[cžMcNĢMUJ`RJ][ß``RNSžLbLQcTRN[^WTß`cJLQXMWRLQ
;b\@bT[N\Y[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^WJ`b\XTXĵLRV
;b\@bT[N\Y[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^WJ`b\XTXĵLR V
ZYV]UK
OXO\QO^cUK
]ĚYXOMdXK
UaSOMSOĜvMdO\aSOM
ŵųųż
=JKĴ[NMWRNY[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^WJ[XcYJ][b`JWbLQ`b\XTXĵLRJLQ
=JK3NMWX\]TX`JVXL`RJ][^WJ[XcYJ][b`JWbLQ`b\XTXĵLRJLQ
Ĵ[NMWRJY[¢MTXĵî`RJ][^DV\FWJ`b\XTXĵLR
3NMWX\]TX`JVXL`RJ][^9SD@VFWJ`b\XTXĵLR
6RN\RžL
V
V
V
V
6RN\RžL
V
V
V
V
<]bLcNĢ
!
!""
" <]bLcNĢ
! 5^]b
!
!
5^]b
!!
!
6J[cNL
"
!"
! 6J[cNL
"
4`RNLRNĢ
"
4`RNLRNĢ
!
!
6JS
6JS
"
,cN[`RNL
"
!!
,cN[`RNL
!
"
5RYRNL
"
!
5RYRNL
"
!!
<RN[YRNĢ
!!
"
!
<RN[YRNĢ
@[cN\RNĢ
!
@[cN\RNĢ
!
9JŔMcRN[WRT
"
9JŔMcRN[WRT
5R\]XYJM
!
!
"!
5R\]XYJM
"
0[^McRNĢ
0[^McRNĢ
"
"
Ĵ[NMWRJ
[XLcWJ
Ĵ[NMWRJ
[XLcWJ
"
;b\ Ĵ[NMWRJY[¢MTXĵî`RJ][^`YX\cLcNPßUWbLQVRN\RžLJLQ
!
-XXKURLcNĢY[cbS¢]XcJT[N\Y[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^XMMX
V\ 7JSKJ[McRNS TX[cb\]WbV [Xc`RžcJWRNV YXM `cPU¢MNV
`bTX[cb\]JWRJNWN[PRR`RJ][^SN\]cJ\]X\X`JWRNVXŖUR`RN`b
\XTRLQ`RNŖ]^[KRW`RJ][X`bLQCN`cPU¢M^WJTX\c]^[cžMcNĢ
RTXWRNLcWXĵî\YNũWRNWRJYN`WbLQ`J[^WTß`cY^WT]^`RMcN
WRJKNcYRNLcNĢ\]`J[^LQ^UX]WRLcNPX`b\XTXĵî V`bMJSN
\R¢Kbî[Xc`RžcJWRNVXY]bVJUWbV
,NUNVX\cJLX`JWRJY[cbLQXMß`SJTRNVXPũbKbKbîX\Rž
PWR¢]NSNŖNUROJ[VJ`RJ][X`JcX\]JũJKb^[^LQXVRXWJcMWRNV
! [ XKURLcXWX `J[]XĵLR NWN[PRR NUNT][bLcWNS . T]ß[J
VXPũJKb Kbî `bY[XM^TX`JWJ Y[cNc SNMWž ]^[KRW¢ `RJ][X`ž
`XT[N\RN!o![]JK
=^[KRWJ X VXLb ! T@ ^VRN\cLcXWJ WJ `b\XTXĵLR V `bY[XM^TX`JũJKb XT [Jcb `R¢LNS NWN[PRR NUNT][bLcWNS
`JWJURcX`JWbVXT[N\RNLcJ\^WRŖ]^[KRWJXVXLbT@WJ
`b\XTXĵLRV9[cbSV^SžLũžLcWbMXLQßMSNMWX\]TX`b
957cJT@QcN\Y[cNMJŖbNWN[PRRRĵ`RJMNL]`SNSYXLQXMcN
WRJ,cNTJU\TRRRW `[XcYJ][b`JWbVXT[N\RN]^[KRWJ
`RJ][X`JXVXLbT@cJYN`WRũJKbMXLQßM957
J ]^[KRWJ X VXLb ! T@ o " 957 9[cbKURŖXWb TX\c]
NUNT][X`WR`VJũNSOJ[VRN`RJ][X`NS]XXTš VUW957cJ
6@VXLbcWJVRXWX`NS,cNTJU\TRRRW =JKNUJ 9[cN`RMb`JWJ RUXĵî NWN[PRR NUNT][bLcWNS `bY[XM^TX`JWNS Y[cNc
SNMWž]^[KRW¢`[XT^!
<cJLX`JWJY[XM^TLSJ
NWN[PRRNUNT][bLcWNS.DT@QF
6RN\RžL
.WN[LXW
.Q&V
9&T@
.WN[LXW
.Q& V
9&!T@
<]bLcNĢ
5^]b
!!"
"
6J[cNL
" "
4`RNLRNĢ
;b\!;ßŖJ`RJ][ß`MUJ`b\XTXĵLRVTž]MNPXcWJLcJ`RJ][`RNSžLb
6JS
"
"
YßũWXLWb
,cN[`RNL
!
5RYRNL
!
<RN[YRNĢ
!!
"
@[cN\RNĢ
!
9JŔMcRN[WRT
"!
5R\]XYJM
" 0[^McRNĢ
!
"!""
!! -JWN YXVRJ[X`N YXc`XURũb WJ XKURLcNWRN SNMWX\]TX`NS
VXLb `RJ][^ 9S ` JWJURcX`JWbV XT[N\RN LcJ\^ MUJ [XcYJ][b
`JWbLQ`b\XTXĵLR]JK
Ĵ[NMWRJ[XLcWJ
UaSOMSOĜvMdO\aSOM
ŵųųż
"
ZYV]UK
OXO\QO^cUK
]ĚYXOMdXK
CN `cPU¢M^ WJ URVR] VXLb cJRW\]JUX`JWNS T@
T]ß[bcX\]JũWJ[c^LXWbY[cNcCJTũJM.WN[PN]bLcWbŨßMŔ=N[NW
oMb\][bK^]X[JNWN[PRRNUNT][bLcWNSWJ[XcYJ][b`JWbV]N[NWRN
oVXŖUR`N\ž`J[RJW]bTXW²P^[JLSR OJ[Vb `RJ][X`NS#
o]^[KRWJXVXLb!T@R]^[KRWbXVXLbT@
o]^[KRWbXVXLbT@TJŖMJ
5RVR]]NW`bWRTJc`Yũb`^]^[KRW`RJ][X`bLQWJYXPX[
\cNWRNSJTXĵLRNWN[PRRNUNT][bLcWNS`\b\]NVRNNUNT][XNWN[PN
]bLcWbV5^KXĵWb <92<<B6+852
QQo`b\XTXĵLRWJMYXcRXVNVP[^W]^ _Q_QoY[¢MTXĵLR`RJ][^WJ`b\XTXĵLRQRQ
Yo`bTũJMWRTYX]¢PX`NPXY[X²U^ Y[¢MTXĵLR `RJ][^
9SoSNMWX\]TX`JVXL`RJ][^
.oNWN[PRJNUNT][bLcWJ V
V\
@V
T@Q
52=.;*=>;*
@728<42
+NLQ[JTR\ -* -NJWN 39 6L4NXPQ .3 @RWM [N\X^[LN J\\N\\VNW]
=N[NW ;C- ŕNUJcWJ VXŖN Kbî Y[JT]bLcWRN `bTX[cb\]JWb
MX K^MX`b OJ[Vb `RJ][X`NS 8Y]bVJUWbV o SJT \R¢ `bMJSN
o[Xc`RžcJWRNVKbũXKbcY^WT]^`RMcNWRJ]JTTXVN[LbSWNPX
SJT R KJMJ`LcX o MbMJT]bLcWNPX cJ\]X\X`JWRN TRUT^ ]^[KRW
X VWRNS\cNS VXLb SNMWX\]TX`NS 9Xc`XUR ]X WJ KJMJWRN `cJ
SNVWNPX`Yũb`^YX\cLcNPßUWbLQ^[cžMcNĢcJ[ß`WXYXMTž
]NV`bTX[cb\]JWRJcJ\XKß``RJ][^SJTRYJ[JVN][ß`SJTXĵLRX
`bLQNWN[PRRNUNT][bLcWNS
4XW²P^[JLSJ Y[cN\][cNWWJ OJ[Vb YX`RWWJ VRWRVJURcX`Jî
`cJSNVWN Y[cN\ũJWRJWRN ]^[KRW MUJ `RJ][ß` c TRN[^WTß` cJ
LQXMWRLQ
9XVRVX `b\XTRLQ TX\c]ß` RW`N\]bLbSWbLQ Y[cNM\R¢`cR¢
LRN`bY[JL^SNMXLQßMYXc`JUJSžLbLXWJSVWRNSYXT[bîTX\c]b
NT\YUXJ]JLbSWN
ZYV]UK
OXO\QO^cUK
]ĚYXOMdXK
XOJWJ[NJ^\RWP\QX[]]N[VMJ]JLX[[NUJ]NM]XJUXWP]N[VMJ]J\N]<XUJ[
.WN[Pb.U\N_RN[_XU Y ,cNTJU\TR-4X[Yb\c1;X\cTX`\TR1Ĵ`RN[LcbĢ\TR-4X[^YLcbĢ\TR;
8K\]J`\TR9;XcKRLTR= .T\YN[]bcJ#YN[\YNT]b`bY[XM^TLSRNWN[PRR
NUNT][bLcWNS cN Ŕ[ßMNũ XMWJ`RJUWbLQ ` ;XUWRLcbLQ CJTũJMJLQ -Xĵ`RJMLcJU
WbLQ<00@<00@Y
,cNTJU\TR-4X[^YLcbĢ\TR;8K\]J`\TR9!+JMJWRNcJ\XKß`NWN[PRR
`RJ][X`NS WJ ]N[NWRN ;C- <00@ ` ŕNUJcWNS CN\cb]b 7J^TX`N 9XUR]NLQWRTR
;cN\cX`\TRNS+^MX`WRL]`XR2WŖbWRN[RJĴ[XMX`R\TJc Y 5^KXĵWb C .UNT][X`WRN `RJ][X`N ` \b\]NVRN NUNT][XNWN[PN]bLcWbV
@7=Y !
9N]N[\NW.56X[]NW\NW505JWMKN[P5"" @RWM9X`N[6N]NX[XUXPb
;R\X7J]RXWJU5JKX[J]X[bY
UaSOMSOĜvMdO\aSOM
ŵųųż