analysis of duration of the selected operational states of warsaw
Transkrypt
analysis of duration of the selected operational states of warsaw
ZESZYTY NAUKOWE INSTYTUTU POJAZDÓW 1(105)/2016 Andrzej Szymanek1, Marzenna Dębowska–Mróz2, Marta Orlińska3, Piotr Kozłowski4 ANALYSIS OF DURATION OF THE SELECTED OPERATIONAL STATES OF THE WARSAW METRO PASSENGER INFORMATION SYSTEM 1. Introduction In recent years we have witnessed significant technological progress in implementation of intelligent transport systems (ITS) – telematics systems which should exhibit the following characteristics [6]: application for the physical systems which are spatially distributed and consist of a large number of elements, application where communication between the environment and the user is needed, integration of many electronic technique functions (including hardware and software), capability of instant response to possible changes in functioning, data transfer, gathering and processing, high reliability for the sake of users’ safety, possibility of the intelligent system extension by introducing new functions or elements. The above mentioned features of telematics systems account for their wide range of applications. A crucial dependence describing the telematics system operation in view of its application seems to be its availability to perform the task which is assigned to it. This concept is used for an analysis and assessment of the telematics system functioning at random moments . An example of such an application may be the systems supporting the technical measure operational process which is represented, among others, by the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System discussed below. One of the important features which characterize the above mentioned system is the fact that it is capable of starting the task performance on time within the required time interval. In the case discussed, the timely starting of a task accomplishment in the required time interval shall mean that the system together with its technical resources and the supervising team will begin the task accomplishment in the required time , and the task will be completed in the pre-determined time [2]. Getting acquainted with the characteristics of the telematics system operational process, first of all, it is necessary analyse its properties which describe the given dr hab. inż. Andrzej Szymanek, prof. UTH - Wydział Transportu i Elektrotechniki, Uniwersytet Technologiczno Humanistyczny w Radomiu 2 dr inż. Marzenna Dębowska - Mróz, Wydział Transportu i Elektrotechniki, Uniwersytet Technologiczno Humanistyczny w Radomiu 3 mgr inż. Marta Orlińska - Wydział Transportu i Elektrotechniki, Uniwersytet Technologiczno Humanistyczny w Radomiu 4 mgr inż. Piotr Kozłowski - Dyrektor do spraw przewozów pasażerskich w Warszawskim Metrze 1 37 process [1]. To do this one has to distinguish its particular operational states. The correct identification of the actual research object and the operational process accomplished in it together with an analysis of the significance of their individual interconnections or their components is the foundation of solving complex research problems. By observation of the occurring operational events and processes accompanying them, identification of the complex systems and operational processes occurring in them is accomplished. In this way it is possible to correctly determine the most important operational states and the values of parameters describing a given process [2]. This paper outlines the methodology of determining particular operational states of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System. 2. Duration of the operational states of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System For the purposes of an analysis of the characteristics describing the operational process of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System, the following operational states , have been distinguished in which the described system may be at any moment in only one of the distinguished subsets of the operational states: – wait state of the operable system to start the carrying out of the assigned task, – state of task performance, – wait state of the system for a repair - treatment, – state in which the system is effectively repaired. To analyses the properties of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System correctly it is not enough to distinguish particular operational states. They must be considered in a more comprehensive way and additionally all possible transitions between them must be identified. An event-based model was used for modelling the operational process of the described system. It was to present the analyzed process graphically. Owing to the construction of a graph of transition between the distinguished operational states it will be possible to map the operational process of the system in which the operational states will be the vertices, and arcs will be the possible transitions between them [2]. Therefore the operational process model was presented graphically by constructing a transition graph between particular operational states (Fig. 1). Fig. 1. Directed graph operation process Passenger Information System of the Warsaw Metro , where: – wait state of the operable system to start the carrying out of the assigned task, – state of task performance, – wait state of the system for a repair - treatment, – state in which the system is effectively repaired [4, 5] 38 The outlined model of the operational process of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System in a graphic representation is implemented in the actual transport system. Thanks to it we can determine a mathematical model of the duration time distribution for particular operational states. It must be assumed, however, that a homogenous semi-Markov process , is a model of the analysed process, whereas a random process with a finite set of states . is a model describing the operational process of the examined system. The process described is a discrete-state process and continuous in time. It was also assumed that the duration time of operational states is a random variable of any probability distribution defined on the space of positive real numbers , and transition of a subsystem to a specific operational state does not depend on the sequence of states but only on the current state. The operational state of such a subsystem for is treated as a semi-Markov process with a finite number of states [3, 4, 5]. The process is defined by a homogenous Markov chain with a state-transition matrix , and conditional probability distribution of random variables [4, 5]: (1) and the initial distribution [4, 5]: (2) (3) where: indexes of possible operational process states probability of the process transition from state to state , cumulative distribution function of random variable random variable defining the state’s duration time in the next stage it will move to state , a set of operational process states. , on condition that The model of the telematics system operational process does not take servicing into account [4]. It is also assumed that random variables indicating the time in which the system is in the state on condition that a transition to state will occur, are defined by [4, 5]: 39 Additionally described random variables also have positively defined functions of probability density , finite expected values and finite second moments ). Therefore, the knowledge of the following functions and numerical characteristics is assumed [4, 5]: ), ), ), ), ), ), ), ) ), ), ), ), ), ), ), ) Owing to the determination of duration times of particular operational states of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System, irrespective of the state to which its operational process moved, partial evaluation of its functioning will be possible. The operational process of the described system will be described by random variables , for i=1, 2, 3, 4, which successively mean [4]: – the time in which the operable system remains in the wait state to start accomplishing a task, – the time in which the system described is carrying out the task, – the time in which the system waits for repair, – the time in which the system is under repair. Using dependence (4) describing the expected value of a particular operational state duration, the expected values for the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System were determined represented by dependences (5), (6), (7) and (8) respectively, which describe random variables for i=1, 2, 3, 4. ( )= (4) for random variable the expected value of the time in which the system waits to start performing the task [2]: (5) for random variable the expected value of the time in which the system is carrying out the task assigned to it [2]: (6) for random variable repair [2]: the expected value of the system being in the wait state for (7) 40 for random variable repair [2]: the expected value of the system being in the state under (8) Due to co-operation with the Warsaw Metro it was possible to determine the analysed expected values. The summary of results is depicted in Figure 2. Fig. 2. The expected values for the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System 3. Conclusions The Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System is operated in the hours when the metro trains are running. Taking into consideration the metro working hours and the time the system is waiting for a task accomplishment, both before and after work, as well as prolonged working hours due to circumstances, e.g. mass events organized by the city of Warsaw, it has been assumed that the system described operates ca. 21 hours per day. Figure 3 includes a percentage summary of particular operational state duration of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System. It indicates that the system described is used in ca. 67%, in other words duration of carrying out the task amounts to 13.87 h. Another parameter discussed is the wait time for carrying out the task assigned which takes ca. 23% of the system operation, i.e. 4.67 h. On the other hand, the system’s wait time for repair took ca. 8% and the repair time ca. 2%, which gives 1.68 h and 0.32 h, respectively. 41 Fig. 3. Percentage summary of particular operational state duration of the Warsaw Metro Passenger Information System References [1]. Loska A.: Przegląd metod modelowania jako podstawa budowy scenariuszy eksploatacyjnych. Oficyna Wydawnicza Polskiego Towarzystwa Zarządzania Produkcją, t. 2, str. 152–161, 2010 r. [2]. Migawa K.: Sterowanie gotowością w systemach eksploatacji środków transportu. Rozprawa habilitacyjna nr. 168, Bydgoszcz 2013 r. [3]. Niziński S., Kolator B.: Ocena efektywności funkcjonowania systemów eksploatacji pojazdów i maszyn z wykorzystaniem procesów Markowa. Motoryzacja i Energetyka Rolnictwa, MOTROL nr. 8, str. 156–168, 2006 r. [4]. Siergiejczyk M.: Efektywność eksploatacyjna systemów telematyki transportu, Prace Naukowe Politechniki Warszawskiej z. 67, Warszawa 2009 r. [5]. Siergiejczyk M.: Metoda oceny efektywności eksploatacyjnej systemów telematyki transportu. Czasopismo Logistyka nr. 4, CD nr. 1, 2010 r. [6]. Wydro K. B.: Telematyka znaczenie i definicje terminu. Telekomunikacja i Techniki Informacyjne nr. 1–2, str. 116–130, 2005 r. Abstract This publication is devoted to the analysis of the distribution of the duration of the particular operating statuses of the Passenger Information System of the Warsaw Metro. Firstly, I specify the operating statuses that the system can reach. Secondly, I present a directed graph of the operation process, which enables to identify all the possible transitions between the specified states, and, ultimately, to determine their expected duration time. This analysis was performed using semi-Markov processes. Finally, the article contains the evaluation of the Passenger Information System of the Warsaw Metro based on the results. Keywords: telematics systems, passenger information system of the Warsaw Metro, semi-Markov processes, schedule durations operating conditions. 42 ANALIZA CZASÓW TRWANIA WYBRANYCH STANÓW EKSPLOATACYJNYCH SYSTEMU INFORMACJI PASAŻERSKIEJ METRA WARSZAWSKIEGO Streszczenie Niniejsza publikacja przedstawia zagadnienia związane z analizą rozkładów czasów trwania poszczególnych stanów eksploatacyjnych Systemu Informacji Pasażerskiej Warszawskiego Metra. W pierwszej kolejności wyszczególniono stany eksploatacyjne w których może znaleźć się opisywany system, następnie przedstawiony został graf skierowany procesu eksploatacji, który pozwolił na określenie wszystkich możliwych przejść pomiędzy wyszczególnionymi stanami, by w konsekwencji wyznaczyć wartości oczekiwane ich czasów trwania. Analiza ta dokonana została przy wykorzystaniu procesów semi-Markowa. W dalszej kolejności przedstawiono ocenę Systemu Informacji Pasażerskiej Warszawskiego Metra na podstawie uzyskanych wyników. Słowa kluczowe: systemy telematyczne, System Informacji Pasażerskiej Warszawskiego Metra, procesy semi-Markowa, rozkład czasów trwania stanów eksploatacyjnych. 43